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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Roma

Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma

 For all their recent stumbles, Fiorentina have been beaten at home just four times in Serie A this season, and they can close out their Stadio Franchi campaign with a win. Roma will be mentally preparing for events in Budapest next week and have all but written off chances of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
53.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 25.59% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 20.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (0.044999999999995 0.04)54.15% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (-0.02 -0.02)79.09% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 53.81%
    Roma 20.59%
    Draw 25.59%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 14.07%
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
41.7%
Draw
18.1%
Roma
40.2%
127
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')
Dodo (24')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
gameweek 6
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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