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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Roma

Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma

For all their recent stumbles, Fiorentina have been beaten at home just four times in Serie A this season, and they can close out their Stadio Franchi campaign with a win. Roma will be mentally preparing for events in Budapest next week and have all but written off chances of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
53.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 25.59% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 20.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (0.044999999999995 0.04)54.15% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (-0.02 -0.02)79.09% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 53.81%
    Roma 20.59%
    Draw 25.59%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 14.07%
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
41.7%
Draw
18.1%
Roma
40.2%
127
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')
Dodo (24')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
gameweek 6
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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