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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Lukaku (19'), Pellegrini (25')
Paredes (41'), Llorente (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Folorunsho (76')
Dawidowicz (52'), Folorunsho (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli
Saturday, January 13 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 3-1 Hellas Verona

Both teams are decimated by absences, but Roma have been freed from the shackles of Jose Mourinho's pragmatic approach and can win over their aggrieved fans with three much-needed points. Verona not only struggle on the road, but their record in Rome is also quite awful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
68.9% (0.13200000000001 0.13) 19.9% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 11.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 41.13% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (0.137 0.14)51.09% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.12 0.12)72.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)13.78% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (0.166 0.17)41.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.29% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.8% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)86.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Roma 68.9%
    Hellas Verona 11.19%
    Draw 19.9%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 14.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 68.9%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.9%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
83.6%
Draw
7.3%
Hellas Verona
9.1%
55
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
2-1
Roma
Duda (4'), Ngonge (45+3')
Dawidowicz (64'), Baroni (70')
Hien (84')
Aouar (56')
Dybala (13'), Aouar (62'), Pellegrini (68')
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hellas Verona
1-3
Roma
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 26
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli23173338162254
2Inter Milan22156156193751
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Juventus23913139201940
5Fiorentina22116537231439
6Lazio2212373830839
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma238783429531
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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