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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
2 - 0
Napoli

Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-0 Napoli

 Roma can heap more misery on stuttering Napoli by edging a tight contest and leapfrogging their southern rivals in the Serie A standings. Although the Scudetto holders have produced consistent results on the road, their hosts have the knack of grinding out gritty wins at Stadio Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
42.03% (-0.83 -0.83) 25.41% (0.181 0.18) 32.56% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.577 -0.58)48.23% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.529 -0.53)70.38% (0.53500000000001 0.54)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.645 -0.64)22.83% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.963 -0.96)56.56% (0.969 0.97)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.137 0.14)28.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.172 0.17)63.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.03%
    Napoli 32.56%
    Draw 25.4%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
51.4%
Draw
19.0%
Napoli
29.5%
105
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
El Shaarawy (75')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
0-0
Napoli
Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')
Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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