Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona
Neither side has a reliable striker to dig them out of trouble when most needed, with goals being gleaned from several different sources. An intense schedule may mean Fiorentina will lack a little intensity, but they should still have enough in hand to see off struggling Verona.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.3% . A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.08% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.77%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.34%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result Fiorentina Draw Hellas Verona 73.3% ( 0.1) 16.62% ( -0.16) 10.08% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.77)
60.12% ( 0.9) 39.87% ( -0.9)
37.76% ( 0.92) 62.23% ( -0.93)
90.55% ( 0.25) 9.44% ( -0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 68.28% ( 0.6) 31.71% ( -0.6)
52.79% ( 0.7) 47.2% ( -0.7)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.36% ( 0.52) 82.64% ( -0.52)
Fiorentina 73.29%
Hellas Verona 10.08%
Draw 16.62%
Fiorentina Draw Hellas Verona 2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 73.29% 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.62% 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.08%
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Draw
Hellas Verona
25
rhs 2.0
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