Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
19.37% ( 0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.18) | 58.4% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( -0.19) | 45.32% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.34% ( -0.18) | 67.66% ( 0.17) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( 0.35) | 37.33% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( 0.34) | 74.12% ( -0.35) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.8% ( -0.27) | 15.2% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.16% ( -0.5) | 43.84% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.37% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |