Romania

4 - 1

Cyprus

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.