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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Cyprus national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Kosovo national football team

Cyprus
0 - 4
Kosovo


Tzionis (37'), Pittas (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Muriqi (9' pen., 21'), Rrahmani (48'), Dellova (55')
Aliti (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Cyprus and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-1 Cyprus
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

Kosovo

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

We said: Cyprus 1-1 Kosovo

 Kosovo have had great difficulty in recent years at performing when being the favourites to win, especially in Euro 2024 qualifying, and they could be in for a frustrating evening against a rejuvenated Cyprus side. The hosts ended a five-year wait for an away win on Friday, and they have been strong at home in previous editions of the Nations League, so cannot be underestimated here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.39%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawKosovo
13.62% (0.626 0.63) 21.99% (0.474 0.47) 64.38% (-1.103 -1.1)
Both teams to score 42.04% (0.296 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.543 -0.54)53.87% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.455 -0.46)75.32% (0.452 0.45)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.12% (0.673 0.67)49.87% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.42% (0.463 0.46)84.57% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.55 -0.55)16.13% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (-1.009 -1.01)45.56% (1.006 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 13.62%
    Kosovo 64.37%
    Draw 21.99%
CyprusDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 5.6% (0.223 0.22)
2-1 @ 3.55% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 1.95% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 13.62%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.24% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 14.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 13.39% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.14% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 64.37%

How you voted: Cyprus vs Kosovo

Cyprus
40.3%
Draw
22.1%
Kosovo
37.7%
154
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
League C
Kosovo
5-1
Cyprus
Muslija (22'), Rrudhani (45+1'), Rashani (47'), Muriqi (52', 84')
Roberge (81')
> Preview
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
League C
Cyprus
0-2
Kosovo

Panayiotou (90+3')
Berisha (65'), Zhegrova (78')
Kastrati (30'), Kryeziu (36'), Loshaj (80'), Dresevic (90')
> Preview
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