Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Estadio Conde Dias Garcia
Sanjoanense2 - 4Farense
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sanjoanense and SC Farense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rabo Peixe 2-0 Sanjoanense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sanjoanense had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Sanjoanense win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result | ||
Sanjoanense | Draw | SC Farense |
26.1% ( 0.19) | 25.49% ( 0.01) | 48.41% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.19% ( 0.08) | 51.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% ( 0.07) | 73.57% ( -0.07) |
Sanjoanense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% ( 0.2) | 34.64% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.64% ( 0.21) | 71.36% ( -0.21) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( -0.06) | 21.41% ( 0.05) |