Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
AVS | Draw | SC Farense |
54.6% ( -0.01) | 24.22% ( 0.05) | 21.18% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.72% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% ( -0.23) | 51.27% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% ( -0.2) | 73.1% ( 0.2) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% ( -0.09) | 18.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% ( -0.15) | 50.02% ( 0.15) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% ( -0.16) | 38.86% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.41% ( -0.16) | 75.59% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
AVS | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.58% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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