MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 17:05:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
0 - 1
Arouca


Falcao (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trezza (45+1')
Fukui (69'), Rodrigues (77'), Jason (90+3'), Esgaio (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Arouca

Having stumbled into the new campaign, Farense and Arouca will head into the weekend looking to secure a morale-boosting result and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arouca in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
25.85% (0.649 0.65) 24.77% (0.239 0.24) 49.38% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.473 -0.47)49.06% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.429 -0.43)71.14% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.288 0.29)33.37% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.314 0.31)69.99% (-0.315 -0.31)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.548 -0.55)19.89% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.891 -0.89)52.02% (0.889 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 25.85%
    Arouca 49.37%
    Draw 24.76%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.195 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.85%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.37%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
44.4%
Draw
55.6%
Arouca
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Arouca
2-1
Farense
Esgaio (45+1'), Cristo (68')
De Arruabarrena (55'), Trezza (78'), Moreira (90+1'), Galovic (90+4')
Duarte (88')
Caseres (49'), Mota (50'), Duarte (82')
Caseres (90+5')
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Farense
2-0
Arouca
Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

Simao (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1411213482635
3Porto1411123392434
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS142661122-1112
14Nacional14338819-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca153210926-1711
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!