MX23RW : Monday, November 18 02:40:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Excelsior
4 - 0
Heracles

Parrott (45+3', 66'), Driouech (67', 90+5')
Driouech (68'), Zagre (70'), van Duinen (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sankoh (52'), Hrustic (65'), Vejinovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heracles

There is little to choose between the sides and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeracles
60.48% (6.854 6.85) 19.84% (-1.885 -1.89) 19.67% (-4.97 -4.97)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.27% (2.705 2.71)33.73% (-2.707 -2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.44% (3.015 3.02)55.55% (-3.016 -3.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.1% (2.817 2.82)10.9% (-2.818 -2.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.95% (5.906 5.91)35.05% (-5.906 -5.91)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-2.679 -2.68)30.24% (2.676 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-3.33 -3.33)66.4% (3.326 3.33)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 60.48%
    Heracles 19.67%
    Draw 19.84%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.635 0.64)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.788 0.79)
3-0 @ 5.98% (1.041 1.04)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.802 0.8)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.861 0.86)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.333 0.33)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.501 0.5)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.495 0.5)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.241 0.24)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.941 -0.94)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.485 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 5.23% (-1.011 -1.01)
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.929 -0.93)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.782 -0.78)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.596 -0.6)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.409 -0.41)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heracles

SBV Excelsior
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Heracles
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Heracles
3-1
Excelsior
Limbombe (54'), Hoogma (60'), Sankoh (85')
Willems (82')
Agrafiotis (19')
Lamprou (39'), Zagre (49'), Smeulers (76')
Lamprou (56')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Second Round 2nd Leg
Heracles
1-3
Excelsior
Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Excelsior
3-0
Heracles
Azarkan (21'), Dallinga (74'), Driouech (85')

Schoofs (29')
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Heracles
4-5
Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
0-3
Heracles

Mattheij (85')
Peterson (35'), Kuwas (43'), Osman (66')
Peterson (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!