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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Watford |
27.94% ( -0.25) | 24.21% ( -0.59) | 47.85% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 56.94% ( 1.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( 2.42) | 45.18% ( -2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( 2.28) | 67.52% ( -2.27) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( 1.06) | 29.71% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.23% ( 1.27) | 65.77% ( -1.27) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% ( 1.32) | 18.99% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.47% ( 2.14) | 50.53% ( -2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.61) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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