MX23RW : Monday, December 23 15:54:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 0
Stoke

Kayembe (47', 73'), Andrews (49')
Issouf Bayo (31'), Sierralta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (55'), Laurent (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Watford 2-1 Stoke City

Scoring on eight occasions during their first two matches of the season, Watford have hit the ground running under the permanent stewardship of Cleverley. Stoke have been rock solid on their return to competitive action, but we feel that the Potters will suffer their maiden loss of the season at Vicarage Road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
30.17% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 43.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.18 -0.18)52.2% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.158 -0.16)73.91% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.158 -0.16)31.71% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.183 -0.18)68.13% (0.184 0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)57.9% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Watford 30.17%
    Stoke City 43.68%
    Draw 26.14%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
73.5%
Draw
2.9%
Stoke City
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-0
Watford
Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

Kone (60')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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