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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 0
Stoke

Kayembe (47', 73'), Andrews (49')
Issouf Bayo (31'), Sierralta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (55'), Laurent (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Watford 2-1 Stoke City

Scoring on eight occasions during their first two matches of the season, Watford have hit the ground running under the permanent stewardship of Cleverley. Stoke have been rock solid on their return to competitive action, but we feel that the Potters will suffer their maiden loss of the season at Vicarage Road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
30.17% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 43.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.18 -0.18)52.2% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.158 -0.16)73.91% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.158 -0.16)31.71% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.183 -0.18)68.13% (0.184 0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)57.9% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Watford 30.17%
    Stoke City 43.68%
    Draw 26.14%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
73.5%
Draw
2.9%
Stoke City
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-0
Watford
Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

Kone (60')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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