Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.