Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.31%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.