Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nuremberg in this match.