St Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Kilmarnock
Both teams will be pushing to secure points for different reasons this weekend, but out of the two, it is Kilmarnock who are enjoying a much stronger season. While Killie typically struggles away from home, they should have enough quality in this particular match to take three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
28.64% ( 0.03) | 27% ( 0.01) | 44.35% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.68% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.83% ( -0.02) | 56.16% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.77% ( -0.02) | 77.22% ( 0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% ( 0.01) | 34.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% ( 0.01) | 71.67% ( -0.01) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( -0.03) | 25.18% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% ( -0.04) | 59.91% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.34% |