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Scottish Premiership
St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (23'), Watkins (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Kilmarnock

 Both teams will be pushing to secure points for different reasons this weekend, but out of the two, it is Kilmarnock who are enjoying a much stronger season. While Killie typically struggles away from home, they should have enough quality in this particular match to take three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
28.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 44.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.012 0.01)34.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.67% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.91% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 28.64%
    Kilmarnock 44.34%
    Draw 26.99%
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.34%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

St Johnstone
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Kilmarnock
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
2-1
St Johnstone
Watson (6'), Watkins (17')
Clark (61')
Mitov (64')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
Clark (1', 7')
Kane (75'), Mitov (88')
Costelloe (76')
Vassell (47')
Wright (58'), Watson (66')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Kilmarnock
0-1
St Johnstone

Doidge (47')
Watson (44')
Gordon (11')
Ballantyne (29'), Montgomery (71'), Matthews (72')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Johnstone
Wright (38')
Wright (70')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
St Johnstone
1-0
Kilmarnock
Taylor (4' og.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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