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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Rangers logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Rangers

Armstrong (11' pen.)
Mayo (54'), Findlay (81'), Watson (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tavernier (55'), Lawrence (59')
Barisic (34'), Goldson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 0-2 Rangers

Although Rangers made light work of Hearts at the weekend, we do not expect the same to materialise here. Nevertheless, such is Rangers' momentum that we still back them to get the job done, albeit with a more hard-working performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
17.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 60.29% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.8% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.012 -0.01)16.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)45.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 17.19%
    Rangers 60.29%
    Draw 22.51%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.19%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock
18.0%
Draw
4.9%
Rangers
77.0%
61
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
McCausland (41'), Sima (45'), Cantwell (61')
Cantwell (15')
Armstrong (59' pen.)
McKenzie (30'), Watson (41'), Wright (63')
Aug 5, 2023 5.15pm
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
Goldson (6'), Sakala (25'), Tavernier (45' pen.)
Dorsett (60')
Jan 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Kilmarnock
2-3
Rangers
Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Rangers
2-0
Kilmarnock
Colak (51'), Morelos (88')

Taylor (14'), Donnelly (38'), McKenzie (49'), Armstrong (82'), Murray (85'), Cameron (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1312104043637
2Aberdeen14103129161333
3RangersRangers13823189926
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd146532114723
5Motherwell136161619-319
6St Mirren155371925-618
7Dundee144462326-316
8Ross County153661227-1515
9St Johnstone1541101728-1113
10Kilmarnock143471627-1113
11Hibernian152671825-712
12Hearts152491625-910


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