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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 7-1 Dundee
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-2 Rangers
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-2 Kilmarnock

With little between the two teams in the league this promises to be a closely fought contest, particularly since both are heading into the match on the back of defeats. Kilmarnock cannot afford another loss considering how close St Mirren are to them in the division, and they should have enough attacking quality to claim three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
46.24% (-0.365 -0.37) 24.9% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 28.87% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)47.61% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)69.82% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)20.64% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.228 -0.23)53.21% (0.232 0.23)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.26100000000001 0.26)30.3% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.31 0.31)66.47% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 46.24%
    Kilmarnock 28.87%
    Draw 24.89%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
15.4%
Draw
23.1%
Kilmarnock
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dundee
Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1916215274550
2RangersRangers20124437162140
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd209743021934
4Aberdeen2010463228434
5St Mirren2183102734-727
6Motherwell208392534-927
7Hibernian226883135-426
8Kilmarnock216692536-1124
9Dundee2064103036-622
10Ross County215792138-1722
11Hearts2155112431-720
12St Johnstone2143142341-1815


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