Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.24% ( -0.37) | 24.9% ( 0.04) | 28.87% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% ( 0.04) | 47.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.19% ( 0.04) | 69.82% ( -0.03) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.14) | 20.64% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.23) | 53.21% ( 0.23) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% ( 0.26) | 30.3% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% ( 0.31) | 66.47% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |