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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Portsmouth

Stoke
6 - 1
Portsmouth

Cannon (13', 43', 48' pen., 51'), Gallagher (45+1'), Moran (54')
Moran (55'), Bae (73')
FT(HT: 3-1)
O'Mahony (29')
Lane (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Portsmouth

Stoke have not faced Portsmouth since 2014, but they have historically fared well in head-to-head home meetings, having won five and drawn two of their previous seven home games against Pompey. With that in mind, we think that the Potters will make full use of home advantage to edge out Portsmouth to clinch the first win of Pelach's tenure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth
49.48% (0.813 0.81) 24.62% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 25.9% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.466 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.297 -0.3)48.4% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (-0.272 -0.27)70.54% (0.267 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.214 0.21)19.59% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.354 0.35)51.53% (-0.359 -0.36)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (-0.765 -0.77)32.98% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (-0.854 -0.85)69.56% (0.84700000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.47%
    Portsmouth 25.9%
    Draw 24.61%
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Stoke vs Portsmouth

Stoke City
55.3%
Draw
15.8%
Portsmouth
28.9%
76
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Stoke
3-0
Portsmouth
Walters (16', 47'), Crouch (90')
Adam (85')
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Nov 22, 2009 3pm
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Portsmouth
Beattie (80', 78' pen.)
Lawrence (58')
Shawcross (90' og.), Kranjcar (75')
Hreidarsson (58'), Johnson (77'), Davis (79')
Oct 5, 2008 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Stoke
Defoe (51'), Crouch (25')
Fuller (48')
Olofinjana (22'), Simonsen (66'), Faye (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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