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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Portsmouth

Stoke
6 - 1
Portsmouth

Cannon (13', 43', 48' pen., 51'), Gallagher (45+1'), Moran (54')
Moran (55'), Bae (73')
FT(HT: 3-1)
O'Mahony (29')
Lane (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Portsmouth

 Stoke have not faced Portsmouth since 2014, but they have historically fared well in head-to-head home meetings, having won five and drawn two of their previous seven home games against Pompey. With that in mind, we think that the Potters will make full use of home advantage to edge out Portsmouth to clinch the first win of Pelach's tenure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth
49.48% (0.813 0.81) 24.62% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 25.9% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.466 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.297 -0.3)48.4% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (-0.272 -0.27)70.54% (0.267 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.214 0.21)19.59% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.354 0.35)51.53% (-0.359 -0.36)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (-0.765 -0.77)32.98% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (-0.854 -0.85)69.56% (0.84700000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.47%
    Portsmouth 25.9%
    Draw 24.61%
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Stoke vs Portsmouth

Stoke City
55.3%
Draw
15.8%
Portsmouth
28.9%
76
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Stoke
3-0
Portsmouth
Walters (16', 47'), Crouch (90')
Adam (85')
> Match Report
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Stoke
Piquionne (35')
O'Hara (60'), Hreidarsson (90')
Huth (50')
Wilkinson (67')
Wilkinson (73')
Nov 22, 2009 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Portsmouth
Fuller (74')
Whitehead (45')

Brown (35'), Mullins (59')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Portsmouth
Beattie (80', 78' pen.)
Lawrence (58')
Shawcross (90' og.), Kranjcar (75')
Hreidarsson (58'), Johnson (77'), Davis (79')
Oct 5, 2008 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Stoke
Defoe (51'), Crouch (25')
Fuller (48')
Olofinjana (22'), Simonsen (66'), Faye (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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