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Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Stoke
vs.
Fleetwood

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Stoke City 1-2 Fleetwood Town

Given that Fleetwood have already beaten two sides from higher divisions in the EFL Cup this season, it would not be surprising if they were to do so again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Stoke field a similarly youthful XI to the one that beat Middlesbrough, the visitors could look to take advantage of their hosts' inexperience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Fleetwood Town has a probability of 25.01% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.9%).

Result
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
51.67% (-1.629 -1.63) 23.31% (0.052 0.05) 25.01% (1.573 1.57)
Both teams to score 57.31% (1.622 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (1.314 1.31)43.47% (-1.316 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13% (1.279 1.28)65.86% (-1.282 -1.28)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)16.87% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11% (-0.191 -0.19)46.89% (0.19 0.19)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (2.037 2.04)31.06% (-2.04 -2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (2.32 2.32)67.37% (-2.322 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 51.67%
    Fleetwood Town 25.01%
    Draw 23.31%
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.584 -0.58)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.552 -0.55)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.346 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.263 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.317 0.32)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.252 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.217 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 25.01%

Who will win Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke and Fleetwood?

Stoke City
Draw
Fleetwood Town
Stoke City
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Stoke
1-1
Fleetwood
Campbell (36')
Batty (63')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
Fleetwood
Surridge (45'), Souttar (77')
Chester (90+4' og.)
Batty (33'), Hill (65'), Matete (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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