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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
24.58% ( 0.67) | 24.03% ( 0.52) | 51.39% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( -1.6) | 47.02% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% ( -1.52) | 69.26% ( 1.51) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.67% ( -0.3) | 33.33% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.05% ( -0.33) | 69.95% ( 0.32) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% ( -1.05) | 18.3% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.61% ( -1.81) | 49.38% ( 1.8) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.58% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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