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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds

Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Leeds
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

The quick turnaround brings around a certain level of uncertainty with both managers likely to be tempted with some rotation. However, combined with their respective form, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
24.58% (0.671 0.67) 24.03% (0.516 0.52) 51.39% (-1.195 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.945 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-1.603 -1.6)47.02% (1.595 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-1.516 -1.52)69.26% (1.506 1.51)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.3 -0.3)33.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.328 -0.33)69.95% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-1.053 -1.05)18.3% (1.044 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-1.812 -1.81)49.38% (1.802 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 24.58%
    Leeds United 51.38%
    Draw 24.03%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.38%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
43.7%
Draw
30.7%
Leeds United
25.6%
199
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
0-0
Sunderland
Kamara (70'), Firpo (70')
Ballard (21'), O'Nien (46'), Rigg (57'), Bellingham (62')
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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