MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 22:39:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds

Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Leeds
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

 The quick turnaround brings around a certain level of uncertainty with both managers likely to be tempted with some rotation. However, combined with their respective form, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
24.58% (0.671 0.67) 24.03% (0.516 0.52) 51.39% (-1.195 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.945 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-1.603 -1.6)47.02% (1.595 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-1.516 -1.52)69.26% (1.506 1.51)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.3 -0.3)33.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.328 -0.33)69.95% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-1.053 -1.05)18.3% (1.044 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-1.812 -1.81)49.38% (1.802 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 24.58%
    Leeds United 51.38%
    Draw 24.03%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.38%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
43.7%
Draw
30.7%
Leeds United
25.6%
199
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
0-0
Sunderland
Kamara (70'), Firpo (70')
Ballard (21'), O'Nien (46'), Rigg (57'), Bellingham (62')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
Third Round
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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