We said: Uganda 1-1 Algeria
Algeria appear not to have recovered from their poor AFCON outing despite changing managers, as they have just one win in their last six matches. Uganda, on the other hand, are growing in confidence with each passing game. However, we think that the visitors might get something from this game due to some individual quality.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.