Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.