Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.26%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 2-1 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.