MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 23:53:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 at 8.15am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Macarthur

Wellington
3 - 0
Macarthur

Barbarouses (22'), Payne (29'), Zawada (90+2' pen.)
Rufer (54'), Salas (84'), Zawada (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Drew (41')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, April 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
47.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 21.2% (0.311 0.31) 31.07% (-0.354 -0.35)
Both teams to score 70.21% (-1.445 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.3% (-1.777 -1.78)28.7% (1.771 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.39% (-2.215 -2.22)49.6% (2.211 2.21)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.643 -0.64)12.81% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (-1.331 -1.33)39.14% (1.326 1.33)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-1.062 -1.06)19.47% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-1.763 -1.76)51.33% (1.758 1.76)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 47.72%
    Macarthur 31.07%
    Draw 21.2%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.295 0.3)
1-0 @ 5.13% (0.405 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.83% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.399 0.4)
2-2 @ 7.05% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.63% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.07%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 7.01am
Gameweek 17
Macarthur
1-2
Wellington
Oliveira (78')
Lewis (22'), M'Mombwa (75')
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Dec 18, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington

Nicolaou (9'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Baccus (85')
Kraev (40'), Barbarouses (58', 61')
Rufer (13'), Pennington (26')
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Feb 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Macarthur
2-1
Wellington
Davila (32'), Najjar (49')
Kraev (4')
Nov 6, 2022 2am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
4-1
Macarthur
Old (45+3'), Lewis (65'), Waine (67'), Kraev (75')
Rose (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!