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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Preston North End logo

West Brom
3 - 0
Preston

Mowatt (45+2' pen.), Bartley (61'), Furlong (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lindsay (16'), Woodman (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 West Brom
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Leicester
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Preston North End

West Brom's stellar record at The Hawthorns suggests a comfortable win for the hosts on Saturday, but it could become an intense affair for the Baggies should Hull score early on at Plymouth Argyle. Preston are stumbling towards the second-tier finishing line, and we cannot envisage the Lilywhites disrupting Albion's top-six ambitions in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawPreston North End
62.69% (-1.072 -1.07) 22.49% (0.65 0.65) 14.82% (0.428 0.43)
Both teams to score 43.44% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-1.689 -1.69)53.58% (1.697 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-1.444 -1.44)75.08% (1.451 1.45)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.4% (-0.937 -0.94)16.6% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.58% (-1.717 -1.72)46.41% (1.723 1.72)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09% (-0.402 -0.4)47.91% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.297 -0.3)83.16% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 62.68%
    Preston North End 14.82%
    Draw 22.49%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 62.68%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.516 0.52)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: West Brom vs Preston

West Bromwich Albion
81.1%
Draw
5.4%
Preston North End
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Preston
0-4
West Brom

McCann (35'), Potts (81'), Hughes (87')
Furlong (4'), Mowatt (29'), Phillips (62'), Bartley (87')
Yokuslu (18')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
West Brom
2-0
Preston
Yokuslu (36', 57')
Oct 5, 2022 8pm
Jan 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
West Brom
0-2
Preston

Furlong (49'), Townsend (78')
Riis Jakobsen (41'), Archer (76')
Whiteman (48'), Riis Jakobsen (52'), Evans (69'), Maguire (90+4')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
1-1
West Brom
Phillips (45+1')
Bartley (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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