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Championship | Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Preston

Adams (19', 29'), Armstrong (33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawene (1'), Lowe (2'), Holmes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Preston North End

Considering that an average of 3.9 goals have been scored across the last seven competitive meetings between these two teams, another entertaining end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming three precious points, but we believe that Southampton, motivated by recent slip-ups from Leicester and Leeds, will find a way to come out on top on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
69.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 18.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 12.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)11.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)80.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 69.09%
    Preston North End 12.44%
    Draw 18.45%
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 69.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 12.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Preston

Southampton
Draw
Preston North End
Southampton
82.6%
Draw
6.6%
Preston North End
10.8%
213
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
2-2
Southampton
Osmajic (52'), Potts (55')
Whiteman (42'), Millar (80'), Cunningham (90+1')
Walker-Peters (33'), Evans (90+6' og.)
Smallbone (22'), Bazunu (45+1'), Bednarek (90+8')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-3
Southampton
Bodin (19')
Ings (11', 44'), Vokins (82')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Preston
Surman (19'), Saganowski (29', 42')
Euell (74')
Wallace (73')
Nov 1, 2008 3pm
Preston
2-3
Southampton
Jones (36'), Elliott (42')
Pearce (64'), Surman (69'), McGoldrick (90')
McGoldrick (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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