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Championship | Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Preston

Adams (19', 29'), Armstrong (33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawene (1'), Lowe (2'), Holmes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Preston North End

Considering that an average of 3.9 goals have been scored across the last seven competitive meetings between these two teams, another entertaining end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming three precious points, but we believe that Southampton, motivated by recent slip-ups from Leicester and Leeds, will find a way to come out on top on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
69.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 18.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 12.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)11.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)80.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 69.09%
    Preston North End 12.44%
    Draw 18.45%
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 69.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 12.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Preston

Southampton
82.6%
Draw
6.6%
Preston North End
10.8%
213
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
2-2
Southampton
Osmajic (52'), Potts (55')
Whiteman (42'), Millar (80'), Cunningham (90+1')
Walker-Peters (33'), Evans (90+6' og.)
Smallbone (22'), Bazunu (45+1'), Bednarek (90+8')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-3
Southampton
Bodin (19')
Ings (11', 44'), Vokins (82')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Preston
Surman (19'), Saganowski (29', 42')
Euell (74')
Wallace (73')
Nov 1, 2008 3pm
Preston
2-3
Southampton
Jones (36'), Elliott (42')
Pearce (64'), Surman (69'), McGoldrick (90')
McGoldrick (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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