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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Watford logo

West Brom
2 - 2
Watford

Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Watford

West Brom have been renowned for their stellar home form this season, and we are expecting the Baggies to continue their Black Country form on Easter Monday. Watford went toe-to-toe with Premier League-bound Leeds at Vicarage Road on Good Friday, but we believe that a trip to The Hawthorns will yield no returns for Cleverley's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
46.22% (0.109 0.11) 26.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.21299999999999 0.21)55.26% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.176 0.18)76.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.146 0.15)23.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.208 0.21)58.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.58% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)72.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 46.21%
    Watford 27.22%
    Draw 26.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: West Brom vs Watford

West Bromwich Albion
73.5%
Draw
12.2%
Watford
14.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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