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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Leicester City |
29.22% ( -2.88) | 23.67% ( 0.75) | 47.1% ( 2.12) |
Both teams to score 59.73% ( -4.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.08% ( -5.13) | 41.91% ( 5.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.68% ( -5.36) | 64.32% ( 5.36) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( -4.31) | 27.15% ( 4.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.45% ( -5.98) | 62.54% ( 5.97) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% ( -1.18) | 18.01% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.11% ( -2.05) | 48.88% ( 2.05) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.62) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.35) Other @ 3% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.81) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.43) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 1.53) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1.08) 1-3 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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