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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Deepdale
Leicester logo

Preston
0 - 3
Leicester


Browne (46'), Hughes (54'), Brady (62'), Holmes (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardy (36', 52'), McAteer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Leicester City

Given that Leicester were in celebratory on Friday night, it remains unclear how they will rock up for this contest. Although they will be eager to win the title, we do not expect them to perform to their absolute best, leading us to predict a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
29.22% (-2.882 -2.88) 23.67% (0.755 0.75) 47.1% (2.122 2.12)
Both teams to score 59.73% (-4.439 -4.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.128 -5.13)41.91% (5.123 5.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-5.361 -5.36)64.32% (5.356 5.36)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-4.311 -4.31)27.15% (4.305 4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-5.98 -5.98)62.54% (5.974 5.97)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-1.176 -1.18)18.01% (1.172 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (-2.052 -2.05)48.88% (2.047 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 29.22%
    Leicester City 47.1%
    Draw 23.67%
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.696 0.7)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.621 -0.62)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.81 0.81)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.043 1.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.355 0.36)
0-1 @ 8.38% (1.529 1.53)
0-2 @ 7.18% (1.081 1.08)
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.48 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Preston vs Leicester

Preston North End
17.9%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leicester
3-0
Preston
Dewsbury-Hall (60', 90'), Iheanacho (76')

Woodburn (82'), Stewart (86')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Leicester
McCann (49')
Vardy (12'), Barnes (18')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-1
Leicester
Clarke (57')
Moore (25')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
19Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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