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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Deepdale
Leicester logo

Preston
0 - 3
Leicester


Browne (46'), Hughes (54'), Brady (62'), Holmes (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardy (36', 52'), McAteer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Leicester City

Given that Leicester were in celebratory on Friday night, it remains unclear how they will rock up for this contest. Although they will be eager to win the title, we do not expect them to perform to their absolute best, leading us to predict a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
29.22% (-2.882 -2.88) 23.67% (0.755 0.75) 47.1% (2.122 2.12)
Both teams to score 59.73% (-4.439 -4.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.128 -5.13)41.91% (5.123 5.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-5.361 -5.36)64.32% (5.356 5.36)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-4.311 -4.31)27.15% (4.305 4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-5.98 -5.98)62.54% (5.974 5.97)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-1.176 -1.18)18.01% (1.172 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (-2.052 -2.05)48.88% (2.047 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 29.22%
    Leicester City 47.1%
    Draw 23.67%
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.696 0.7)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.621 -0.62)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.81 0.81)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.043 1.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.355 0.36)
0-1 @ 8.38% (1.529 1.53)
0-2 @ 7.18% (1.081 1.08)
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.48 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Preston vs Leicester

Preston North End
17.9%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leicester
3-0
Preston
Dewsbury-Hall (60', 90'), Iheanacho (76')

Woodburn (82'), Stewart (86')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Leicester
McCann (49')
Vardy (12'), Barnes (18')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-1
Leicester
Clarke (57')
Moore (25')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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