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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Deepdale
Leicester logo

Preston
0 - 3
Leicester


Browne (46'), Hughes (54'), Brady (62'), Holmes (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardy (36', 52'), McAteer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Leicester City

Given that Leicester were in celebratory on Friday night, it remains unclear how they will rock up for this contest. Although they will be eager to win the title, we do not expect them to perform to their absolute best, leading us to predict a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
29.22% (-2.882 -2.88) 23.67% (0.755 0.75) 47.1% (2.122 2.12)
Both teams to score 59.73% (-4.439 -4.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.128 -5.13)41.91% (5.123 5.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-5.361 -5.36)64.32% (5.356 5.36)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-4.311 -4.31)27.15% (4.305 4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-5.98 -5.98)62.54% (5.974 5.97)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-1.176 -1.18)18.01% (1.172 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (-2.052 -2.05)48.88% (2.047 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 29.22%
    Leicester City 47.1%
    Draw 23.67%
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.696 0.7)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.621 -0.62)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.81 0.81)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.043 1.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.355 0.36)
0-1 @ 8.38% (1.529 1.53)
0-2 @ 7.18% (1.081 1.08)
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.48 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Preston vs Leicester

Preston North End
17.9%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leicester
3-0
Preston
Dewsbury-Hall (60', 90'), Iheanacho (76')

Woodburn (82'), Stewart (86')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Leicester
McCann (49')
Vardy (12'), Barnes (18')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-1
Leicester
Clarke (57')
Moore (25')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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