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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
Luton Town

West Ham
3 - 1
Luton

Ward-Prowse (54'), Soucek (65'), Earthy (76')
Palmieri (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sambi Lokonga (6')
Barkley (10'), Burke (79'), Morris (83')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's Premier League survival chances are left in tatters courtesy of a 3-1 defeat to West Ham United at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
64.05% (-0.562 -0.56) 18.68% (0.221 0.22) 17.26% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.453 -0.45)32.18% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.23% (-0.532 -0.53)53.77% (0.529 0.53)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.258 -0.26)9.57% (0.2569 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)32.02% (0.603 0.6)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.084000000000003 0.08)31.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.093999999999998 0.09)68.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 64.06%
    Luton Town 17.26%
    Draw 18.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.06%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: West Ham vs Luton

West Ham United
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Luton Town
15.8%
158
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
West Ham
Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')
Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Luton
1-1
West Ham
Bradley (90')
Soucek (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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