Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Luton Town |
64.05% ( -0.56) | 18.68% ( 0.22) | 17.26% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 61.75% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.82% ( -0.45) | 32.18% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.23% ( -0.53) | 53.77% ( 0.53) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.43% ( -0.26) | 9.57% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.98% ( -0.61) | 32.02% ( 0.6) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% ( 0.08) | 31.72% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% ( 0.09) | 68.14% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.06% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 17.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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