Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
56.14% ( -0.05) | 20.74% ( 0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.63% ( -0.17) | 33.36% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.86% ( -0.2) | 55.14% ( 0.19) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% ( -0.07) | 11.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.66% ( -0.15) | 37.33% ( 0.14) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.09) | 27.05% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( -0.12) | 62.42% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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