Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
56.14% ( -0.05) | 20.74% ( 0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.63% ( -0.17) | 33.36% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.86% ( -0.2) | 55.14% ( 0.19) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% ( -0.07) | 11.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.66% ( -0.15) | 37.33% ( 0.14) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.09) | 27.05% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( -0.12) | 62.42% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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