Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
42.29% ( 0.18) | 23.83% ( -0) | 33.88% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 61.5% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% ( -0.01) | 40.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% ( -0.01) | 62.96% ( 0.01) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% ( 0.07) | 19.47% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% ( 0.12) | 51.33% ( -0.12) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -0.1) | 23.64% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( -0.14) | 57.73% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 33.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
6 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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