Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton1 - 1Nott'm Forest
The Match
Match Report
Luke Berry scores a 89th-minute leveller as Luton Town claim a point against Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League clash at Kenilworth Road.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-3 Luton
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
42.29% ( 0.18) | 23.83% ( -0) | 33.88% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.01) | 40.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.01) | 62.96% ( 0.01) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.07) | 19.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.12) | 51.33% ( -0.12) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.1) | 23.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.14) | 57.73% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 42.29%
Nottingham Forest 33.88%
Draw 23.83%
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 33.88% |
How you voted: Luton vs Nott'm Forest
Luton Town
40.8%Draw
30.9%Nottingham Forest
28.3%233
Form Guide
