Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.