Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.