Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.