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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
31.21% ( -0.73) | 26.75% ( 0.3) | 42.04% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.8% ( -1.43) | 54.2% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.39% ( -1.21) | 75.61% ( 1.21) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68% ( -1.23) | 32% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% ( -1.43) | 68.46% ( 1.43) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.42) | 25.48% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( -0.58) | 60.31% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
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