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Europa League
Young Boys
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
STADE DE SUISSE Wankdorf Bern
Sporting Lisbon

Young Boys
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Ugrinic (42')
Camara (22'), Colley (40'), Lakomy (54'), Elia (89')
Camara (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Amenda (31' og.), Gyokeres (41' pen.), Inacio (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Young Boys and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Young Boys

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Young Boys
Saturday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Young Boys 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

 Sporting Lisbon boast more quality than their hosts, and while they are unlikely to go all out for a big victory with a home leg looming, we still fancy Amorim's men to come out on top on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Young Boys win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Young BoysDrawSporting Lisbon
18.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 18.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 62.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)52.69% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (0.013000000000005 0.01)9.58% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.94% (0.028999999999996 0.03)32.06% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Young Boys 18.26%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.87%
    Draw 18.87%
Young BoysDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 18.26%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 18.87%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 7.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 4.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 4.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 62.87%

How you voted: Young Boys vs Sporting Lisbon

Young Boys
14.5%
Draw
14.0%
Sporting Lisbon
71.5%
172
rhs 2.0
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