Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.19% (![]() | 18.96% (![]() | 66.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.02% (![]() | 39.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.66% (![]() | 62.35% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.56% (![]() | 40.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.95% (![]() | 77.05% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% (![]() | 11.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.57% (![]() | 35.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.05% 2-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.19% | 1-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.96% | 0-2 @ 10.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 66.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |