Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves0 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Chaves
Sunday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Tondela
Tuesday, January 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Tuesday, January 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Chaves 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
While Sporting's form on the road this season has not been as impressive as their home record, this match feels like it should be a guaranteed three points for the Lions. Chaves have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, particularly at home, but we feel they will not be able to contain the champions-elect in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.41% ( -0.05) | 17.9% ( -0.05) | 69.69% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
