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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
Morocco national football team

Zambia
0 - 1
Morocco

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ziyech (37')
Hakimi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zambia and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Tanzania
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 1-1 Congo DR
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Zambia 1-2 Morocco

 Expect a cagey opening, with both teams wary of exposing vulnerabilities. Morocco's quality and technical finesse might give them the edge, but Zambia will not go down without a fight. The Atlas Lions have dominated this fixture in the past, and we expect this trend to continue on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
ZambiaDrawMorocco
41.28% (-0.843 -0.84) 27.13% (0.233 0.23) 31.59% (0.602 0.6)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-0.722 -0.72)55.59% (0.714 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.596 -0.6)76.75% (0.587 0.59)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)26.51% (0.77 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (-1.041 -1.04)61.7% (1.034 1.03)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (0.052000000000007 0.05)32.45% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (0.060000000000002 0.06)68.97% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 41.27%
    Morocco 31.59%
    Draw 27.13%
ZambiaDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.235 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.279 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.59%

How you voted: Zambia vs Morocco

Zambia
20.2%
Draw
14.1%
Morocco
65.7%
99
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 1am
Friendlies 1
Morocco
P-P
Zambia
Jan 31, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Morocco
3-1
Zambia
Rahimi (1'), Ali Bemammer (8'), El Kaabi (39' pen.)
Phiri (80')
Sikombe (77')
Z (20')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2019 6.30pm
International Friendlies
Morocco
2-3
Zambia
Ziyech (24', 55' pen.)
Hakimi (42'), Abdelhamid (75'), Boussoufa (79')
Musonda (1'), Kangwa (44'), Mwepu (74')
Kangwa (41'), Chongo (53'), Mwepu (56')
rhs 2.0
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