We said: Zambia 1-0 Tanzania
While Zambia were far from impressive in attack in their first match, their defensive solidity was commendable, and they will likely prioritise keeping a clean sheet in this match against a Tanzania attack that lacks genuine firepower. This has the feel of a low-scoring, tactical match, and we feel that the first goal will likely end up being the winner.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.