MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:01:44| >> :60:702:702:
Real Salt Lake
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Salt Lake
2 - 1
Atlas

Julio (45+2'), Palacio (79')
Davis (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Reyes (26')
Rios (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Leagues Cup clash between Real Salt Lake and Atlas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Real Salt Lake 0-1 Atlas

So much of the RSL attacking play filters through Arango, and not having him available could allow Atlas to play their stifling tactics, which have frustrated so many MLS sides at this tournament, allowing the Mexicans to eventually sneak a goal in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Atlas win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawAtlas
57.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 21.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 21.31% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.88% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.23500000000001 0.24)39.22% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45% (0.245 0.25)61.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.063000000000002 0.06)13.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.119 0.12)40.62% (-0.115 -0.12)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.214 0.21)31.9% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (0.242 0.24)68.34% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 57.2%
    Atlas 21.31%
    Draw 21.48%
Real Salt LakeDrawAtlas
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 21.31%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Atlas

Real Salt Lake
45.7%
Draw
14.3%
Atlas
40.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 1am
Club Friendlies
Salt Lake
1-2
Atlas
Herrera (17')
Zaldivar (41'), Rodriguez (71')
rhs 2.0
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