We said: Colorado Rapids 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Looking at recent meetings between Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at Dick's Sporting Goods Park with plenty of goalmouth action. While we expect Real Salt Lake to put up a fight, the Rapids have been near-impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them to secure all three points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.