MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 15:25:59| >> :60:450:450:
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Colorado Rapids

Toluca
1 - 2
Colorado

Paulinho (83')
Amaya (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (45'), Yapi (90+6')
Mihailovic (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Colorado
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 3-2 Colorado Rapids

While knockout ties can get cagey at times, Toluca and Colorado Rapids both showed no signs of holding back last time out, which bodes well for the potential entertainment value of Wednesday's meeting. We are backing the hosts to make home advantage count and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 3-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawColorado Rapids
60.91% (-0.595 -0.59) 19.55% (0.227 0.23) 19.54% (0.371 0.37)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.52% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)32.48% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.88% (-0.599 -0.6)54.12% (0.602 0.6)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.297 -0.3)10.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.03% (-0.678 -0.68)33.97% (0.682 0.68)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.048000000000002 0.05)65.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 60.91%
    Colorado Rapids 19.54%
    Draw 19.55%
TolucaDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 8.49% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.54%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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