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Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Houston Dynamo

Toluca
2 - 2
Houston

Angulo (39' og.), Lopez (90+6')
Gallardo (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ponce (41'), Micael (62')
Artur (87')
Toluca win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Kansas
Tuesday, August 6 at 2am in Leagues Cup

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Houston 3-0 Salt Lake
Tuesday, August 6 at 2am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 1-3 Houston Dynamo

 Houston Dynamo were slow to kickstart their cup journey but will know that any further underwhelming displays from here on out could lead to an exit from the competition. We expect them to up the ante in Saturday's contest and claim a relatively routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%).

Result
TolucaDrawHouston Dynamo
56.69% (-1.433 -1.43) 21.27% (0.662 0.66) 22.03% (0.773 0.77)
Both teams to score 60.71% (-1.252 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.71% (-2.151 -2.15)37.29% (2.152 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.5% (-2.356 -2.36)59.5% (2.357 2.36)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (-1.103 -1.1)13.07% (1.103 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (-2.292 -2.29)39.66% (2.294 2.29)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (-0.548 -0.55)30.16% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (-0.662 -0.66)66.31% (0.663 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 56.69%
    Houston Dynamo 22.03%
    Draw 21.27%
TolucaDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.175 0.18)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.498 0.5)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 56.69%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.459 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.399 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.191 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.413 0.41)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: Toluca vs Houston

Toluca
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Houston Dynamo
56.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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