Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 25.46% and a draw has a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.87%).
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Manchester City |
52.49% ( 9.38) | 22.05% ( -1.47) | 25.46% ( -7.91) |
Both teams to score 62.25% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.84% ( 2.08) | 37.16% ( -2.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.64% ( 2.21) | 59.36% ( -2.21) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% ( 4.24) | 14.33% ( -4.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.84% ( 7.67) | 42.16% ( -7.67) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( -4.04) | 27.33% ( 4.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.21% ( -5.56) | 62.79% ( 5.56) |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 1.26) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 1.2) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 1.35) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.91) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.88) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.42) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.46) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.42) Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -1.33) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -1.22) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -1.3) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.99) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.47) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.81) Other @ 3.81% Total : 25.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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