MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 02:26:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 2.10am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 2
Juarez

Paulinho (10', 71'), Mosquera (17' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Venegas (48'), Zaldivar (54')
Orquin (15'), Villalpando (17'), Zaldivar (37'), Zaldivar (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Toluca 1-1 Juarez

 Toluca had a strong showing in the second half of last season, boasting a formidable home record, but they have historically struggled against Juarez. The away side demonstrated their goalscoring ability in their opening match, which could be crucial in securing a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawJuarez
62.07% (0.41200000000001 0.41) 20.26% (-0.217 -0.22) 17.67% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.378 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.683 0.68)39.1% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.713 0.71)61.43% (-0.71400000000001 -0.71)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.324 0.32)12.1% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.68 0.68)37.64% (-0.682 -0.68)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (0.19199999999999 0.19)35.52% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.199 0.2)72.29% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 62.07%
    Juarez 17.67%
    Draw 20.26%
TolucaDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.07%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 17.67%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3.10am
Gameweek 11
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Garcia (39')
Angulo (16')
Jul 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Toluca
2-4
Juarez
Morales (20'), Volpi (70' pen.)
Volpi (28'), Ruiz (35')
Araujo (28')
Urzi (18'), Saucedo (64'), Escoto (77'), Garcia (90+6')
Chavez (45+6'), Saucedo (50'), Pasquel Colin (86')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Juarez
Volpi (45+4' pen.)
Chavez (69')
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-0
Juarez
Sanvezzo (23'), Gonzalez (46'), Ruiz (90+2')
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Olivera (88')
Meneses (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!